If you’re talking with family this Thanksgiving weekend about possible bowl-game trips over the holidays, you could possibly get a jump on things by checking one game result late Saturday afternoon.
Basically, it comes down to this: If Oklahoma State beats Oklahoma, then Kansas State wins the Big 12 and will go to the Fiesta Bowl.
The Cowboys play the Sooners in Norman in a 2:30 game. Oddsmakers have made OU a touchdown favorite, so the scenario described above is not terribly likely. If OU wins the game, then K-State’s fate will be entirely determined by its own game next Saturday against Texas. Win that game, and the ‘Cats are league champions. Lose, and it gets messy.
K-State currently has one loss in league play. OU has one, OSU has two, and — after Thursday’s result — Texas has three. So if OSU beats OU, both those teams will have two losses. Even if K-State then proceeds to lose to Texas next week, the Wildcats would still tie for the league championship.
The three-team tiebreaker to determine which team goes to the Fiesta Bowl is the round-robin record of all three teams — and K-State is 2-0 against OU and OSU. Therefore the Wildcats would go to the Fiesta.
If Oklahoma wins Saturday and the Wildcats lose next week, then Oklahoma wins the league title and the Wildcats would be second. That would appear to slot K-State into the Cotton Bowl, which gets the second choice from the Big 12 - but the Cotton is not obliged to take the second-place team, and K-State just went there last season. So it gets complicated.